Atlético Libertad vs Ventas de las Pajanosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+382%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
ATL
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
GUI
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 6
ATL
61%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 3
CAL
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 4
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ventas de las Pajanosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VPA
3 - 2
COL
47%
20%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CJA
5 - 4
VPA
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
VPA
84%
10%
6%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VPA
1 - 1
GUI
38%
21%
41%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
VPA
66%
18%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |