Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Atlético GO vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
4 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
COR
37%
30%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 1
AMF
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
REN
76%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
LFC
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOS
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |