Atlético GO vs Guaraní analysis

Atlético GO Guaraní
87 ELO 79
4.2% Tilt -0.8%
94º General ELO ranking 487º
14º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Atlético GO
19.1%
Draw
11.5%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
Atlético GO
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
Guaraní
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético GO
-1%
-15%
Guaraní

Points and table prediction

Atlético GO
Their league position
Guaraní
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
12º
57
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória
72
72
100%
EC Juventude
65
65
100%
Criciúma
64
64
100%
Atlético GO
64
64
100%
Sport Recife
63
63
0%
Novorizontino
63
63
0%
Mirassol
63
63
0%
Vila Nova
61
61
100%
Guaraní
10º
57
57
0%
CRB
57
57
10º
0%
Ceará
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Botafogo SP
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Avaí
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Ituano
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Ponte Preta
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Chapecoense
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Sampaio Correa
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Tombense
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Londrina
19º
31
31
19º
100%
ABC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atlético GO
Guaraní
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atlético GO
Guaraní
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético GO
Atlético GO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
MIR
Mirassol
4 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
25%
25%
49%
87 77 10 0
11 Nov. 2023
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
42%
25%
33%
87 85 2 0
02 Nov. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
2 - 2
Novorizontino
NOV
69%
19%
12%
87 78 9 0
29 Oct. 2023
VIL
Vila Nova
2 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
19%
25%
56%
87 77 10 0
20 Oct. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO
3 - 1
ABC
ABC
81%
14%
5%
87 65 22 0

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
2 - 3
ABC
ABC
68%
21%
12%
80 66 14 0
14 Nov. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
50%
27%
24%
80 80 0 0
04 Nov. 2023
LON
Londrina
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
26%
28%
45%
79 67 12 +1
28 Oct. 2023
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
64%
23%
14%
80 70 10 -1
21 Oct. 2023
MIR
Mirassol
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
43%
27%
30%
79 76 3 +1
X