A. Candeleda vs Casillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
67%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
ATL
22%
19%
60%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 2
CEB
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 3
ATL
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 1
ATL
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAM
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
RAM
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 1
CAS
29%
19%
52%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 2
CAS
17%
17%
67%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
BOS
61%
19%
21%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HOY
3 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |