Atlanta vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALM
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 3
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
SOD
1 - 1
ATL
4%
11%
85%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
MIT
66%
22%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
ALV
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 0
BEL
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 3
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |