MLS Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Atlanta United vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlanta United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 1
NYC
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
NYC
0 - 1
AFC
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
4 - 1
AFC
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
CFS
67%
17%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
NER
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
RBN
3 - 0
COC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COC
1 - 0
RBN
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RBN
1 - 0
ORL
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PHU
0 - 1
RBN
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SJE
1 - 3
RBN
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |