Athletic Club vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATH
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATH
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 0
POA
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POA
1 - 2
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
AMF
6 - 0
POA
93%
6%
1%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |