Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 2-1
Athletic Club vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATH
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
ATH
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
ATH
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATH
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAM
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AIM
0 - 4
CAM
25%
30%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |