Athletic vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SDL
2 - 0
ATH
5%
14%
81%
|
85 | 24 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
ATH
6%
17%
77%
|
85 | 29 | 56 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
ATH
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 1
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 0
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 1
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 4
TRA
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 1
IST
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |