Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATH
0 - 3
VCF
45%
26%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 1
MUD
23%
24%
54%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 3
ATH
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MLL
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
93%
6%
2%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |