Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATH
33%
22%
45%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 1
DEP
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
DEP
2 - 4
ATH
24%
21%
56%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
SEV
90%
6%
3%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
VCF
1 - 3
RMA
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 5
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
RMA
8 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
RMA
9 - 0
RUN
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |