Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BET
3 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 2
GIR
48%
24%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATH
19%
26%
56%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
65%
21%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 0
MLL
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 2
ATM
11%
21%
69%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
5 - 0
UDL
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
22%
24%
53%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
65%
21%
15%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |