Bilbao Ath. vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
AMU
1 - 2
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 0
SES
56%
24%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATH
45%
29%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 1
LEM
46%
29%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATH
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
OVI
1 - 1
ZAM
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CDG
2 - 2
OVI
41%
30%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
OVI
1 - 0
LOG
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
OVI
1 - 1
CUL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
OVI
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |