Europa League Last 16
Global 3-2
Atalanta vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
INT
4 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 2
FAR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |