Atalanta vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |