Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 1-1
Atalanta U23 vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
LEG
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 1
ATA
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATA
62%
24%
14%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SOR
3 - 2
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
4 - 2
PAD
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |