Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
20%
27%
54%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BBU
0 - 4
ASV
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MID
0 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
62%
23%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 0
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BIR
0 - 2
OPA
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
OPA
0 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 4
OPA
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
OPA
1 - 2
BBU
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |