Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
ASV
3 - 0
CRY
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
12%
18%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
8%
15%
77%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 1
WBA
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CRY
0 - 7
LIV
8%
16%
75%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |