Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
16%
26%
58%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 5
ASV
8%
19%
73%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 1
FUL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EVE
0 - 1
MUD
21%
25%
55%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 2
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 1
BBU
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |