Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
ASV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ASV
6 - 1
SUN
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 2
TOT
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MUD
0 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 1
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 0
SWA
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHL
25%
24%
52%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |