Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 0-7
Astana vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
AIK
0 - 3
AST
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZHE
0 - 0
AST
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
AIK
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
ATY
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VIL
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 2
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 3
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MID
0 - 2
VIL
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ELC
1 - 1
VIL
29%
27%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |