Astana vs Kaysar Kyzylorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
9º
4º
16
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 44 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 39 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 35 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
AST
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kaysar Kyzylorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
KAI
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
ATY
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TOB
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
KAI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |