ACO Liguria vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACL
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ACL
0 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACL
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |