AE Real vs Rio Negro RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
REA
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
SAO
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MRF
2 - 0
REA
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
GAS
34%
22%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Negro RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
MRF
45%
21%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
6 - 0
PRO
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GAS
6 - 2
RIO
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
ARO
19%
18%
63%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |