Monterosi Tuscia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterosi Tuscia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RPO
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
TAR
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
LAT
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 0
SES
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RIM
2 - 2
PRG
10%
22%
68%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 1
PON
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 1
PES
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |