Varese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 1
VAR
37%
33%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 1
REG
64%
25%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
PRG
64%
25%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
VAR
39%
32%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOD
68%
23%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ROM
0 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
INT
3 - 0
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
52%
28%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
FIO
1 - 0
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |