Cittadella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 4
CTT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 3
CTT
16%
25%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 3
USC
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
CTT
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 1
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 2
TUT
70%
20%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
SPA
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
ARZ
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |