Serie B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Cittadella vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 0
LEO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CTT
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 2
CTT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 2
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ACD
0 - 1
FRO
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
FRO
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |