AS Castello vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 3
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
BUO
13%
16%
72%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ZOF
3 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GCZ
6 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCV
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 3
THU
33%
27%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
STG
2 - 0
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |