Cannes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAN
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 0
LEP
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
LYO
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
ETG
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REN
0 - 2
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
NIC
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |