Serie B Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
SSC Bari vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CAG
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 3
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CAG
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
44%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
CAG
3 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAG
2 - 1
VNZ
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
NUO
0 - 1
CAG
21%
29%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |