CDA Navalcarnero vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 1
CDB
35%
29%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NUM
2 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 2
ILL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 0
NAV
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OVI
2 - 0
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
ALC
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALC
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALB
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |