Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Dec. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
15 Dec. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 0
WHU
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
11 Dec. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
20%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
06 Dec. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
02 Dec. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Dec. 2021 |
IPS
1 - 1
SUN
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
11 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 1
PLY
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
07 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
5 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
04 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
OXF
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
01 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
OLD
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |