Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
SWA
3 - 1
ARS
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 1
CRY
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 1
ARS
25%
22%
53%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
EVE
2 - 1
LEI
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
WBA
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
TOT
4 - 0
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |