Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 2
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
HUL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
4 - 1
GAL
71%
19%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
EVE
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
WHU
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LEI
2 - 2
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
WBA
4 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 0
SUN
33%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |