Arsenal Tula II vs Znamya Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
6º
42
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ARS
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 0
ARS
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Znamya Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAN
3 - 1
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKO
0 - 2
ZAN
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ZAN
2 - 0
SAK
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
0 - 1
ZAN
60%
19%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ZAN
1 - 0
SKA
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |