Arsenal U23 vs Man. City U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
ARS
44%
23%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
5 - 0
BHA
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Man. City U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 6
MCI
23%
21%
56%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DER
0 - 4
MCI
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 2
MCI
37%
23%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |