Arrabaldo vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
ARR
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARR
5 - 2
IRI
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OUT
0 - 1
ARR
14%
18%
67%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 1
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
ARR
23%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TOE
1 - 1
COR
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 2
TOE
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOE
0 - 1
LOB
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 3
TOE
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 4
TOE
8%
14%
79%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |