Arnett Gardens vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
6º
5º
25
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
LIM
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 2
CAV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
ARN
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LIO
3 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
LIO
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 5
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
LIO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 2
TRI
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |