Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
VCF
12%
23%
65%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 0
WER
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAB
1 - 0
ARB
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 1
OSN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
STU
0 - 1
SAA
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAA
4 - 2
UNT
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OFC
2 - 3
SAA
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 0
HEI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |