Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
ARB
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
KAI
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
COT
4 - 2
ARB
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 2
LEV
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
SVS
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
KOL
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
M05
0 - 1
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
KAI
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |