Arles vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 1
NÎM
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 0
NIO
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 1
ARL
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
MET
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 0
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ASN
2 - 2
LUS
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 3
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
ASN
3 - 2
LHA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |