Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 0
ARI
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MEM
3 - 1
ARI
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
ORA
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LVG
3 - 2
ARI
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 3
ARI
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
BLE
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 3
ORS
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
SAC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 2
SAC
6%
18%
76%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 2
SAC
84%
11%
4%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |