Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 0
SEA
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARI
3 - 1
SAC
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 1
ARI
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
RGV
1 - 1
ARI
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 2
ARI
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 3
REN
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 2
OKC
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 1
ARI
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
ORA
0 - 0
TUL
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SPK
1 - 1
ORA
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |