Aris Thessaloniki vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
12º
5º
57
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 4
ARI
19%
27%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAO
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARI
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
OLP
0 - 0
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
KIF
2 - 3
OLP
13%
24%
63%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
OLP
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 2
AEK
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 0
OLP
17%
26%
58%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |