Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Aris Thessaloniki vs Niki Volos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
OLP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 4
ARI
19%
27%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAO
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Niki Volos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 0
LEV
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 3
NIK
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
NIK
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 2
PTF
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
NIK
78%
16%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |