Cup Last 16
Global 1-1
Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 4
ARI
19%
27%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAO
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARI
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 2
LAM
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
OLP
1 - 2
AEK
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
VNF
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
AEK
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |