Argentinos Juniors vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 0
ARG
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
ARG
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 1
ARG
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMA
73%
19%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DHA
2 - 1
SMA
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
3 - 0
GIM
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
AND
1 - 0
SMA
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |