Argentinos Juniors vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 1
ARG
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 0
BAN
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 1
ARG
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 1
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
HUR
3 - 2
ARG
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 2
NOB
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 0
LAN
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 1
NOB
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |