Argentino Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
ARM
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LUJ
2 - 2
ARM
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
MID
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 1
ARM
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ALE
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 0
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CCO
0 - 0
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
SMA
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |